Aramco Pumps Brakes

Aramco Pumps Brakes

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  • Saudi Aramco's unexpected decision to abandon plans to increase its oil output capacity raises significant questions about the Kingdom's perspective on future demand. The move contradicts the prior announcement in November that indicated progress in a project aiming to boost capacity to 13 million barrels per day by 2027. This change comes amid heightened concerns about the implications for global oil demand over the medium and long term. It signifies a shift in tone from one of the world's largest oil producers at the government level.
  • The alteration in the investment plan, directed by the Saudi government, arrives at a time when Aramco has increased dividend payments to the state, its primary owner. The kingdom's fiscal deficit and diversification efforts into areas like sports and tourism may have influenced this decision. The move will eliminate a substantial portion of the expected supply buffer for the coming decade, which might be challenging for others to fill. Aramco is expected to adjust its capital spending plan in March, with anticipated reductions, possibly around $5 billion, according to RBC Capital Markets.

Why it matters

While crude remains vital, Saudi Aramco is strategically expanding into natural gas, chemicals, and renewables. Additionally, the saved funds from the oil capacity expansion cancellation might be allocated to these diversified sectors.

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